Articles in Peer-reviewed Journals (selected)
Nowcasting the impact of COVID-19 on education, intergenerational mobility and earnings inequality in Sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of Economic Inequality. Published online October 12, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10888-024-09648-3 (Wth Guido Neidhöfer (lead author) and Patricio Larroulet)
Inequality Bands: Seventy-five years of measuring income inequality in Latin America, Forthcoming in Oxford Open Economics. (With Facundo Alvaredo, François Bourguignon, and Francisco H. G. Ferreira)
Short and Long-Run Distributional Impacts of COVID-19 in Latin America. Economía LACEA Journal 22(1): 96–116, 2023. (With Valentina Martinez Pabon, Guido Neidhöfer and Mariano Tommasi). DOI: https://doi.org/10.31389/eco.3
The Pink Tide and Inequality in Latin America, forthcoming. Latin American Politics and Society, Volume 65 , Issue 2 , May 2023 , pp. 110–144. (with German Feierherd, Patricio Larroulet and Wei Long). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/lap.2022.47
Lustig, Nora, Valentina Martinez Pabon, Federico Sanz and Stephen D. Younger. 2023. “The Impact of COVID-19 on Living Standards: Addressing the Challenges of Nowcasting Unprecedented Macroeconomic Shocks with Scant Data and Uncharted Economic Behavior.” International Journal of Microsimulation, 16(1), 1-27. DOI: https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.00273
Universal Basic Income Programs: How Much Would Taxes Need to Rise? Evidence for Brazil, Chile, India, Russia, and South Africa, Journal of Development Studies, 2023, Vol. 59, issue 9, pp. 1443-1463. (With Ali Enami, Ugo Gentilini, Patricio Larroulet, Emma Monsalve, Siyu Quan, and Jamele Rigolini). https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2023.2199566
Are Budget Neutral Income Floors Fiscally Viable in Sub-Saharan Africa? Journal of African Economies, Volume 32, Issue Supplement_2, April 2023, ii202–ii227. (Lead author, with Jon Jellema and Valentina Martinez Pabon). https://doi.org/10.1093/jae/ejac049
Wage inequality in the developing world: Evidence from Latin America, Review of Development Economics, Review of Development Economics, 26(4), 1944-1970.(with Carlos Rodriguez-Castelan (lead author), Luis F. Lopez-Calva, Nora Lustig and Daniel Valderrama) November 2022. http://doi.org/10.1111/rode.12912
The Rich Underreport their Income: Assessing Bias in Inequality Estimates and Correction Methods using Linked Survey and Tax Data, Review of Income and Wealth, Vol. 69, Issue 4: 1033-1059, 2023. Version of Record Online October 11, 2022.(with Emmanuel Flachaire and Andrea Vigorito). https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/roiw.12618
Universal Basic Income, Taxes, and the Poor, LSE Public Policy Review, Vol. 2, Issue 4, November, 2022. (with Valentina Martinez Pabon). https://ppr.lse.ac.uk/9/volume/2/issue/4/
How Accurate is the Kakwani Index in Predicting Whether a Tax or a Transfer is Equalizing? An Empirical Analysis, Journal of Income Distribution, Volume 31, Numbers 3-4: September-December 2022. DOI: https://doi.org/10.25071/1874-6322.40543 (with Ali Enami and Patricio Larroulet).
Intergenerational Transmission of Lockdown Consequences: Prognosis of the Longer-run Persistence of COVID-19 in Latin America. Journal of Economic Inequality, July 31, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10888-021-09501-x, (with Guido Neidhöfer (lead author) and Mariano Tommasi)
Measuring Directional Mobility: The Bartholomew and Prais-Bibby Indices Reconsidered. Research on Economic Inequality: Inequality, Redistribution and Mobility, 28, 75-96. 2021. (with Satya Chakravarty, Nachiketa Chattopadhyay, Nora Lustig, and Rodrigo Aranda)
The Impact of COVID-19 Economic Shock on Inequality and Poverty in Mexico, Estudios Economicos, vol. 36-1, January-June 2021, pp. 7-25 (with Valentina Martinez Pabon)
Covid-19 and Social Protection of Poor and Vulnerable Groups in Latin America: A Conceptual Framework. CEPAL Review-Special issue (2020). Volume 1. Number 132. Pages 259-270.(with Mariano Tommasi)
The Impact of COVID-19 Lockdowns and Expanded Social Assistance on Inequality, Poverty and Mobility in Argentina, Brazil, Colombia and Mexico. Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) Covid Economics: Vetted and Real-Time Papers, Issue 46. July 2020. (with Valentina Martinez Pabon, Federico Sanz & Stephen D. Younger)
Labour income inequality in Mexico: Puzzles solved and unsolved. Journal of Economic and Social Measurement, 44(4), 203-219. May 2020. (with Raymundo Campos-Vasquez)
Measuring the Distributional Impact of Taxation and Public Spending: the Practice of Fiscal Incidence Analysis. Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Economics and Finance. April 2020.
Fiscal Policy, Inequality, and Poverty in Iran: Assessing the Impact and Effectiveness of Taxes and Transfers. Middle East Development Journal, 11(1), 49-74. March 2019. (with Ali Enami and Alireza Taqdiri)
Fiscal Incidence and Poverty Reduction: Evidence from Tunisia. Review of Income and Wealth, 64, S225-S248. October 2018. (with Nizar Jouini, Ahmed Moummi, and Abebe Shimeles)
Fiscal Redistribution and Ethno-racial Inequality in Bolivia, Brazil and Guatemala. Latin American Research Review; Special Issue: Enduring and/or New Forms of Inequality in a Globalizing World, 52(2), 108-220, Philip Oxhorn and José R. Jouve-Martin, (Eds.). August 2017.
El impacto del sistema tributario y el gasto social en la distribución del ingreso y la pobreza en América Latina. El Trimestre Economico, 335. July-September 2017. (By invitation)
Inequality and Fiscal Redistribution in Middle Income Countries: Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Indonesia, Mexico, Peru and South Africa. Journal of Globalization and Development, 7(1). June 2016.DOI: 10.1515/jgd-2016-0015.
Can a poverty-reducing and progressive tax and transfer system hurt the poor? Journal of Development Economics, 122, 63-75. August 2016. (with Sean Higgins)
Comparing the Incidence of Taxes and Social Spending in Brazil and the United States. Review of Income and Wealth, 62, S22-46. May 2015. (with Sean Higgins, Whitney Ruble and Tim Smeeding)
Fiscal Policy, Inequality and the Ethnic Divide in Guatemala. World Development, 76, 263–279. August 2015. (with Maynor Cabrera and Hilcias Moran)
The Strugglers: The New Poor in Latin America? World Development, 60, 132-146. August 2014. (with Nancy Birdsall and Christian Meyer)
The Impact of Taxes and Social Spending on Inequality and Poverty in Latin America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Mexico, Peru and Uruguay. Introduction to Special Issue. Public Finance Review, 42(3), 287-303. May 2014. (with Carola Pessino and John Scott)
Social Spending and Income Redistribution in Argentina in the 2000s: the Rising Role of Noncontributory Pensions. Public Finance Review, 42(3), 304-325. May 2014. (with Carola Pessino)
Social Spending, Taxes, and Income Redistribution in Uruguay. Public Finance Review, 42(3), 413-433. May 2014. (with Marisa Bucheli, Máximo Rossi and Florencia Amábile,)
Latin America’s Inequality Success Story: The Case of Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico. Current History, 112(751), 64. February 2013. (By invitation)
Declining Inequality in Latin America in the 2000s: The Cases of Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico. World Development, 44, 129-141. 2013. (Lead author with Luis F. López-Calva and Eduardo Ortiz-Juarez)
Multidimensional indices of achievements and poverty: what do we gain and what do we lose? An introduction to JOEI Forum on multidimensional poverty. Journal of Economic Inequality, 9(2), 227-234. June 2011. DOI: 10.1007/s10888-011-9186-z.
Do we know how much poverty there is? Oxford Development Studies, 32(4), 523 – 558. December 2004. (with Miguel Székely, Martín Cumpa, and José Antonio Mejía)
Rising Inequality in Mexico: Returns to Household Characteristics and Regional Effects. Journal of Development Studies, 39(4), 112-33. April 2003. (with Cesar P. Bouillon and Ariana Legovini)
Life is not Easy: Mexico’s Quest for Stability and Growth. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15(1), 85-106. Winter 2001.
Crises and the Poor: Socially Responsible Macroeconomics. Economía: The Journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, 1(1), 1-45. Fall 2000. LACEA’s Presidential Address.
Why is Inequality Back on the Agenda? In Boris Pleskovic and Joseph E. Stiglitz (Eds.), Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics 1999. 1999. (with Ravi Kanbur)
Pobreza y desigualdad: un desafío que perdura. Revista de la CEPAL/CEPAL Review, Número extraordinario: CEPAL cincuenta años, 297-313. October 1998.
NAFTA: Setting the Record Straight. The World Economy, 20(5), 605-15. August 1997.
Mexico in Crisis, the U.S. to the Rescue: The Financial Assistance Packages of 1982 and 1995. UCLA Journal of International Law and Foreign Affairs, 2(1). Spring-Summer 1997.
Prospects for Growth and the Environment in Mexico in the 1990s. World Development, 24(2). February 1996. (with Jaime Ros, Joost Draisma, and Adriaan Ten Kate)
Poverty in Mexico: The Effects of Adjusting Survey Data for Under-Reporting. Estudios Económicos, 10(1), 3-28, January-June 1995. (with Ann Source Mitchell)
The North American Free Trade Agreement: A Mexican Perspective. SAIS Review, 12(1), 57-67. Winter-Spring 1992.
La medición de la pobreza en México. El Trimestre Económico, 59(236), 725-50. October-December 1992.
Economic Crisis, Adjustment and Living Standards in Mexico: 1982-1985. World Development, 18(10), 1325-42. October 1990.
Terms of Trade and Class Conflict in a Computable General Equilibrium Model for Mexico. Journal of Development Studies, 23(1), 40-59. February 1986. (with Bill Gibson and Lance Taylor).
Fiscal Cost and Welfare Effects of the Corn Subsidy Scheme in Mexico. The Southwestern Review, 4(2), 59-76. Summer 1985.
Characteristics of Mexican Economic Growth: Empirical Testing of Some Latin American Structuralist Hypotheses. Journal of Development Economics, 10(3), 355-376. June 1982.